Mexico Budget Sees Higher Debt Levels, 2025 Growth Above 2%

  • Inflation is expected to slow to central bank’s target range
  • End of AMLO’s term in office came with additional spending

A Petroleos Mexicanos refinery. Crude exports are estimated at around 968,000 barrels per day this year and 958,000 next year. 

Photographer: Alejandro Cegarra/Bloomberg
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Mexico’s economy will expand 2% to 3% in 2025 with a fiscal deficit equivalent to 2.5% of gross domestic product, according to a government estimate published Wednesday.

Inflation will slow to 3.8% by the end of 2024 and 3.3% by year-end 2025, from the current 4.4%, according to the preliminary numbers for the draft budget from Mexico’s Finance Ministry. Growth is forecast at 2.5% to 3.5% this year, above the averageBloomberg Terminal estimate by economists.